Issue Brief on “The 2026 Hormuz Crisis and Pakistan’s Energy Security”

Issue Brief on “The 2026 Hormuz Crisis and Pakistan’s Energy Security”

Introduction

Pakistan’s dependence on imported fuel exposes its energy system and foreign-exchange position to external shocks. State Bank of Pakistan (SBP) data show petroleum-group import payments of about $1.55 billion in June 2026, including $812.03 million for crude oil, $506.86 million for petroleum products and $221.47 million for liquefied natural gas (LNG).[1] Pakistan Bureau of Statistics (PBS) data place the FY2025–26 petroleum-group import bill at $16.86 billion, up 5.76 percent. Crude imports rose 31.58 percent to $7.17 billion and petroleum products 7.05 percent to $6.39 billion, while LNG fell 36.10 percent to $2.22 billion.[2]

Strait of  Hormuz is a critical route for Gulf energy exports. In the first half of 2025, it carried 20.9 million barrels of oil daily, around one-quarter of global seaborne oil trade, and over 20 percent of global LNG trade, largely from Qatar.[3] Qatar’s LNG exports have no practical maritime alternative, whereas Saudi Arabia can divert some crude through its East-West pipeline to Yanbu. Pakistan’s exposure therefore combines supplier concentration with dependence on vulnerable shipping routes.

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